Investment in Real Estate
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The recent failure of one of the largest FM providers in the market has generated significant concern for customers who procure FM services. Though there has been no subsequent collapse of another major provider to date, the prevailing business and industry market conditions create ongoing operational risks for suppliers and risks to service delivery for customers. The following short form paper describes some of the challenges faced by FM providers and, importantly, the practical steps that customers can implement to mitigate risks to service delivery.
Time to put landlords and tenants on the same side
Since the demise of Woolworths, I have spent much of my career at Deloitte reviewing the store portfolios of distressed retailers. Acting for administrators I have been both a landlord and a tenant; elsewhere in my career I have represented occupiers and managed retail portfolios for investors. I have experienced the landlord and tenant relationship from all angles, and it’s a relationship which is under strain like never before.
We all remember the tale of ‘The Three Little Pigs’. The Big Bad Wolf blows down the first two pigs' houses, made of straw and sticks respectively, but is unable to destroy the third pig's house, made of bricks. The moral of the story is that hard work, dedication, bricks and mortar for homes pay off; that whilst the first two pigs quickly built homes and had more free time to play, the third pig laboured in the construction of the house of bricks, with the hope that the structure will eventually lead to the most favourable outcomes. However, perhaps this story doesn’t hold true in today’s world?
Have the worsening market conditions finally started to take a toll on London's office construction levels?
Lowest volume of new starts in over five years
Following the three year high in construction starts reported in our summer survey (October 2018 – March 2019), we saw a 49% drop in volume in this survey. At 1.8 million sq ft recorded between April and September, the volume of new starts falls almost 15% short of the long term average and is also the lowest since our summer 2014 figures.
With the announcement of the latest Contracts for Difference Allocation Round 3 results to offshore wind projects, we thought it timely to address the emerging trends surrounding this asset class.
Construction in the North – a wealth of opportunities
The UK construction industry accounts for approximately 6% of the economy and has been a consistent source of growth over the last 50 years1. Last month, Dr Claire Handby, a Director in Deloitte’s Real Estate Consulting team, gave a speech at a Chartered Institute of Building (Women in Property) event, and spoke about the value of construction, particularly in the North of England. The construction industry provides employment for over 2 million people in the UK, over half a million in the North of England, and has experienced a 4% growth since 20072.
The NHS is transforming how it delivers its services, but one key aspect to enabling this is the need for significant investment in its Estate. According to Sir Robert Naylor’s report last year, the NHS Estate ranges from world class to poorly utilised and not fit for purpose.1 Moreover, Sir Robert estimated that capital requirements could amount to around £10bn. This investment cannot be delivered through public sector funding alone. However, the Chancellor’s announcement in Budget 2018 that there will be no more Private Finance Initiative (PFI)/Private Finance 2 (PF2) Projects, this cuts off a historically well used option for enabling capital investment in the NHS.2 So what next? There are a myriad of potential solutions, and it will require a combination of traditional and innovative approaches to ensure Estates play their part in the transformation of the NHS.
Sadiq Khan has published the final version of his affordable housing and viability supplementary planning guidance (SPG). This was consulted on earlier in the year. The final document has remained very similar to the draft but with a number of subtle differences. It sets out the Mayor’s approach to strategic applications that are referred to him, noting that Local Planning Authorities (LPAs) are encouraged to follow the same approach for all schemes providing 10 or more homes.
A brief introduction to the loan portfolio market today
The international loan portfolio market has seen significant growth and continued innovation in recent years, as lenders bundle up and offload risk from their balance sheets. Large scale portfolio transactions are often key to stabilising the positions of ‘problem’ lenders; as we write, details are emerging on recently rescued Spanish lender Banco Popular’s €30bn non-performing loan portfolio.
Yet again transport investment and real estate value forms a key discussion topic at this year’s MIPIM with representation from all of the major transport investment projects. The projects aren’t new, so what has changed since last year?