How to reboot growth

Japan

The financial crisis of 2008-09 pitched Western economies on to a lower growth path. In recent years growth across the industrialised world has run well below the rates seen in the years before the financial crisis.

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Posted on 11/02/2019

Laser-like focus on costs amid Brexit turmoil

Brexit-money

The latest Deloitte survey of UK Chief Financial Officers released today shows that uncertainty over Brexit is driving a marked shift towards defensive strategies among British businesses. With the UK’s growth prospects heavily dependent on the so far uncertain nature of its exit from the EU, corporates are cutting back on capital expenditure and hiring. Cost reduction is the top priority for CFOs who are placing a greater emphasis on it now than at any time in the last nine years.

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Posted on 04/02/2019

Is there a borrowing bubble?

Graph-in-grass

A boom in low quality mortgage lending in America triggered the Global Financial Crisis. It was a crisis of indebtedness which, courtesy of low interest rates, quantitative easing, government spending and bank bailouts, was resolved by the accumulation of even more debt.

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Posted on 28/01/2019

Brexonomics

Brexit

Amid the legion of uncertainties surrounding Brexit is there much that can be said with some degree of confidence? Economic forecasts are hardly renowned for their accuracy, but they provide a starting point for thinking about the potential economic effects of Brexit.

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Posted on 21/01/2019

Who made money in 2018?

Graph

Last year was a tough one for investors, with global equity markets falling 10% overall. For UK investors most major asset classes – equities, bonds and residential property – either fell in value or saw only small gains.

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Posted on 07/01/2019

Seven news stories for Christmas

Bells

Here is a choice selection of the "and finally" news stories from the Monday Briefing in 2018. The Monday Briefing is taking a break until Monday 14th January. In the meantime the Deloitte economics team - Ian, Debo and Tom - wish you a merry Christmas and a happy New Year.

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Posted on 17/12/2018

Christmas quiz

Christmas

Our Christmas Quiz offers an eclectic test of knowledge of economics and business. The answers and a brief explanation of the factors at work are at the end of this note.

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Posted on 10/12/2018

Running out of workers

Workforce

The global recovery since the financial crisis has not been vigorous. But it has been running for 11 years and it has absorbed a lot of workers. Globally a record 3.3 billion people are in work, 14% more than ten years ago.

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Posted on 03/12/2018

UK growth with and without a Brexit deal

Hologram

Depending on how Brexit goes 2019 could see UK growth accelerate or almost grind to a halt. So, say two forecasting groups which have modelled the economic effects of the UK’s exit from the EU.

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Posted on 26/11/2018

Learning to live with slower Chinese growth

Deloitte-uk-leaves-growing-on-tree

In time, breakneck growth in the early stages of industrialisation gives way to slower growth. All industrialised nations experience this change as a manufacturing boom fuelled by cheap labour runs its course.

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Posted on 19/11/2018