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A brief introduction to the loan portfolio market today
The international loan portfolio market has seen significant growth and continued innovation in recent years, as lenders bundle up and offload risk from their balance sheets. Large scale portfolio transactions are often key to stabilising the positions of ‘problem’ lenders; as we write, details are emerging on recently rescued Spanish lender Banco Popular’s €30bn non-performing loan portfolio.
Disrupting the disruption – the effect of digital disruption on real estate, infrastructure and the construction industry
Digital disruption is something that working in property and construction we hear a lot about. According to some, robots are coming to take our jobs and soon we won’t need to learn to drive either. Without sounding sceptical, this is currently quite a far cry from the industry we work in. Property, infrastructure and construction in general is still a rather traditional industry when it comes to how we work, albeit some technology advancements.
What is the Farmer Review?
At the end of 2015 the Government asked the Construction Leadership Council to identify actions to reduce the industry’s vulnerability to skills shortages. The review was carried out by Mark Farmer of Cast Consultancy, which resulted in the publication of the Farmer Review in October 2016. The report focuses in particular on housing although it suggests that the skills shortage can be found throughout the entire construction industry. Farmer believes the industry does not make enough money, which leads to underinvestment in training, development and innovation.
Breaking up is hard to do: maintaining business integration when your organisation is geographically dispersed
20th century organisations often succeeded by operating from a single location. Take the newspaper industry as an example. For journalists, Fleet Street in London was the centre of the universe. They would mingle and eavesdrop, returning to their offices with fresh gossip. Not only were their headquarters based on the street, but their printing facilities were located within a stone’s throw of their type writer. The Daily Express and the Daily Telegraph, and other household newspapers, operated almost entirely from a single street.
At first glance, real estate is hardly a tech-fuelled industry: building design evolves at a glacial pace, construction relies on traditional methods, and the transaction process has barely changed for centuries. However, take another look: in a few short years, a mix of individuals, start-ups and established businesses have harnessed new technologies to address inefficiencies and generate new ideas.
“Rough winds do shake the darling buds of May
And summer’s lease hath all too short a date”
Shakespeare seems to have been as familiar with the language of leases as he was with the language of love (and no one before or since has combined this knowledge to such poetic effect).
Commissioning and preparing an asset valuation for financial reporting should involve a three way dialogue between the client, valuer & auditor.
Richard Spence, a Director within Deloitte LLP’s Real Estate’s Valuation, Assurance and Professional Advisory Team discusses the plethora of valuation regulations, accounting standards, codes, manuals, and guidelines and the key issues which often arise when an organisation is commissioning or relying on asset valuations for financial reporting purposes.
Deloitte’s latest CFO survey shows that business confidence has fallen to banking crisis levels in the aftermath of the Brexit vote, but the impact on property markets has not been as drastic. Our current prediction is one in which property and construction activity slow, but not to the extent of the crash witnessed during the global financial crisis. Whilst we are aware of only a handful of major projects being stopped or stalled post-Brexit, it would appear to us that the economic indicators and actions taken by some firms to date show that it is inevitable that the decision to proceed or not on many projects will now be affected by reduced appetitive for capex and heightened risk affecting investors, occupiers and developers. An article in the Financial Times recently suggested a third of commercial deals could be in doubt, which is significant and supports our view.
International investors are increasingly willing to search further afield for returns from real estate, as the latest data suggests the global market is in flux.
Since 2010, we have witnessed a growth of capital from Asia into European real estate. A total of €50bn has been invested over the last five years. In the recently published Deloitte EMEA magazine, REflexions, we examined this trend and identified 7 key, but not exclusive, reasons why we think movements of capital from Asia into European real estate will increase over the medium term and here they are: